Category: 25bp
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AUD: CBA maintains base case December RBA 25bp rate cut – see firmer disinflationary pulse
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Detailed note from the Commonwealth Bank of Australia on what they expect from the Reserve Bank of Australia. In summary: Our base scenario sees the RBA begin to normalize the cash rate by the end of 2024 (we forecast in December the first 25 basis point rate cut) A stronger…
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Goldman Sachs on well above expectations US jobs report, see a 25bp Fed November rate cut
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Data linked from here: The jobs report came out very clear, beating even the highest estimates: (Note: If you don’t read posts like this from Giuseppe and I before important US economic releases, you will be blind) I’ve already posted some responses: And if you haven’t seen it, Goldman Sachs…
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Poll: Federal Reserve to cut Fed Funds by 25bp in September, November and December
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High Risk Warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage also creates additional risks and exposure to loss. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. You may lose some…
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Poll: Federal Reserve to cut Fed Funds by 25bp in September, November and December
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High Risk Warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage also creates additional risks and exposure to loss. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. You may lose some…
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Goldman Sachs cut its US recession probability after last week’s data, see 25bp Sept cut
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A note from the economists at the investment bank. I haven’t seen it yet, but the news agencies are carrying the highlights. In summary: It lowered its forecast for a U.S. economic contraction from 25% to 20%, and said it could lower the forecast further to 15% if the August…
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Here’s a forecast for a 25bp RBA rate hike next week – citing inflation not falling
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ING Bank’s response to today’s inflation data from Australia: If you want a reason to keep rates unchanged at the August 6 meeting, today’s core numbers somewhat support the “let’s give the economy the benefit of the doubt” argument. The decision taken in August is certainly more balanced today than…
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New Zealand rate pricing implies 25bp rate cut for October vs. 16 before RBNZ ststament
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High Risk Warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage also creates additional risks and exposure to loss. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. You may lose some…
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Brazil’s central bank cuts its rate by 25bp
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Decision of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Brazil (Copom): 5 COBOOM members voted in favor of a 25 basis point reduction, and 4 members voted in favor of a 50 basis point reduction. The Committee unanimously considers that the uncertain global scenario and the domestic scenario,…