Category: Technical
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NZDUSD Technical Analysis – The USD stays under pressure ahead of the FOMC
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Basic Overview Last Thursday, The Wall Street Journal’s Timiraos published an article that seemed to suggest that a 50 basis point cut was still under discussion. The market responded by raising the odds of a 50 basis point cut to about 40% from 13% before the news. Nick Timiraos is…
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USDJPY Technical Analysis – The USD stays under pressure on a larger cut chance
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Basic Overview Last Thursday, The Wall Street Journal’s Timiraos published an article that seemed to suggest that a 50 basis point cut was still under discussion. The market responded by raising the odds of a 50 basis point cut to about 40% from 13% before the news. Nick Timeraos is…
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Kickstart the FX trading day for Sept 13 w/a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD
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In the opening video, for September 13, 2024, I take a look at three other major currency pairs – EURUSD, USJDPY, and GBPUSD. For the EUR/USD pair, it moved into a swing zone between 1.10976 and 1.11042 and found willing sellers. This area will be a major resistance level today…
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Kickstart the FX trading day for Sept 13 w/a technical look at the EURUSD, USDJPY & GBPUSD
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In the opening video, for September 13, 2024, I take a look at three other major currency pairs – EURUSD, USJDPY, and GBPUSD. For the EUR/USD pair, it moved into a swing zone between 1.10976 and 1.11042 and found willing sellers. This area will be a major resistance level today…
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USDJPY Technical Analysis – Fed “insider” Timiraos weakens the USD
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Basic Overview Yesterday, around 1:00 p.m. EST, Timeraus of the Wall Street Journal published an article that seemed to suggest that a 50 basis point rate cut was still under discussion. The market responded by raising the odds of a 50 basis point rate cut to around 43% from 13%…
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Gold Technical Analysis – We remain stuck in the range
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Basic Overview Markets were waiting for the US non-farm payrolls report for a clear signal of a 25 or 50 basis point rate cut at the upcoming FOMC meeting, but instead we got a mixed report with some better details. As a result, the odds of a 50bp rate cut…
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USDCAD Technical Analysis – A better than feared NFP boosted the USD
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Basic Overview The US dollar came under further pressure last week as a series of weak US data pushed Treasury yields lower. However, Friday’s non-farm payrolls report was not bad, on the contrary, the data under the hood was better than the previous month. This helped the US dollar erase…
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USDJPY Technical Analysis – The NFP report keeps the market guessing
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Basic Overview The USD/JPY pair eventually fell to its lowest level in August after a series of weak US data pushed Treasury yields lower, giving the yen a morale boost. Friday’s nonfarm payrolls report wasn’t bad, on the contrary, the data was better than the previous month. However, the labor…
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Trade ideas thread – Monday, 9 September, insightful charts, technical analysis, ideas
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High Risk Warning: Foreign exchange trading carries a high level of risk that may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage also creates additional risks and exposure to loss. Before deciding to trade foreign exchange, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. You may lose some…
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Crude Oil Technical Analysis – Consolidation ahead of the US NFP report
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Basic Overview Last week was a tough one for crude oil as the price fell more than 6% on renewed growth concerns amid weak US data. OPEC+’s delay in increasing production from October did not spark a rally but helped slow the downward momentum. Much now depends on today’s US…
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Gold Technical Analysis – All eyes on the US NFP
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Basic Overview Gold has been steadily rising this week since bouncing off the recent range low. Weak US job openings data on Wednesday gave it the support it needed to push towards key resistance at 2530. The move was driven by lower real yields, as weaker US data has pushed…
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NZDUSD Technical Analysis – We are testing a key trendline
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Basic Overview Yesterday, we got the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, and although the headline number came in below expectations, the report was better than the previous month. The bad news was that new orders continued to fall to a contractionary level, which is an indicator of demand and is generally…
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NZDUSD Technical Analysis – We are testing a key trendline
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Basic Overview Yesterday, we got the US ISM Manufacturing PMI, and although the headline number came in below expectations, the report was better than the previous month. The bad news was that new orders continued to fall to a contractionary level, which is an indicator of demand and is generally…
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NZDUSD falls helped by risk-off,commodity selling, slower growth.What about the technical?
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The NZD/USD pair is trading at fresh lows as traders react today to risk-off sentiment as stocks/commodities decline. Concerns over growth in the US and China are also weighing on the pair. We recalled last week that the NZD/USD pair peaked on Thursday after the release of a surprise business…
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USDCAD Technical Analysis – The greenback gets some relief
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Basic Overview Finally, the US dollar got some respite from last week after suffering for weeks. The focus now turns to the key data this week with the ISM Manufacturing PMI due today and the Non-Farm Payrolls report due on Friday. The market is awaiting key economic data this week,…
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Gold Technical Analysis – The calm before the storm?
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Basic Overview Gold continues to trade in a tight range as the market awaits key catalysts this week. As a reminder, the Fed is now very focused on the labor market as Fed Chair Powell said they will not welcome further weakness and will do everything they can to maintain…
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Martin Mumo: Technical mountain climber’s life lessons
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“If you don’t fall, you don’t learn,” is a good motivational saying, but not when you’re strapped to a rope 4,900 metres above sea level and very close to the highest peak of Mount Kenya. First, getting there is the ultimate mountaineering experience. It is a celebration that many long…
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NZDUSD Technical Analysis – The Kiwi benefits from the USD weakness
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Basic Overview The US dollar remains under pressure amid positive risk sentiment and an impending rate cut by the Fed that should help global growth. These factors are generally bearish drivers for the US dollar. In fact, the recent strong rally in the New Zealand dollar has been driven mostly…
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NZDUSD Technical Analysis – The Kiwi benefits from the USD weakness
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Basic Overview The US dollar remains under pressure amid positive risk sentiment and an impending rate cut by the Fed that should help global growth. These factors are generally bearish drivers for the US dollar. In fact, the recent strong rally in the New Zealand dollar has been driven mostly…