Deutsche Bank says Trump presidency + China tariffs = EUR/USD @parity

Goldman Sachs baseline forecast is that the Fed, ECB, BoE will hold rates until late 2024

In an interview with Bloomberg TV, Deutsche Bank’s George Saravelos spoke about the main point he made in his talk about the euro:

  • “Imagine a situation where the US erects a massive tariff wall against China.”
  • “All these Chinese goods will have to be diverted to other markets including Europe, so we will see a big deflationary shock in Europe.”
  • He says such tariffs would be implemented more comprehensively and quickly if Donald Trump wins the US presidency, leading to parity between the euro and the dollar.

more:

  • Imposing more tariffs on China and elsewhere would have inflationary consequences for the United States.
  • Deflationary consequences for the rest of the world
  • This would exacerbate the asymmetry between the Fed and the ECB.

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan on www.forexlive.com.

The post Deutsche Bank says Trump presidency + China tariffs = EUR/USD @parity first appeared on Investorempires.com.